Monday, May 23, 2016

Rounding bottom breakout in Edelweiss suggests 30% upside

Edelweiss Financial Services is one of the fastest growing financial services company.
The company is serving in the areas of Corporate Credit, Insurance, Broking, Investment Banking and Wealth Management.

The stock has been trading below levels of 63.5 since June 2008 until Jan 2015. This is a period of 7 years after it broke below in Jun 2008. Stock tried to break above price of 63.5 in Nov 2010 and then in Jun 2014. Both the attempts failed.

This behaviour leads to a formation of Rounding Bottom pattern on Technical Charts.
Rounding Bottom pattern suggest a long revival period after a major setback to a company. The process of revival was going on in case of Edelweiss since Jun 2008 till it broke out of 63.5 levels in Jan 2015.

The breakouts in case of rounding bottom suggest that stock will gradually lead to its high price which was there just before it fell heavily prior the formation of rounding bottom. In case of Edelweiss this high is also an all time high at 179.50.

After breaking out of resistance at 63.5 in Jan 2015 the stock could not sustain above it. We can attribute the reasons of non-sustenance to falls in broader Indian markets and global markets.

As you can see on Monthly chart enclosed with this article, the stock is again trying to move above the resistance near 63.5. Today it is trading near Rs 70. For medium term buyers who are willing to wait for a period of 1-2 years the stock has potential to earn more that 100% returns from current level.


I have also enclosed daily chart with support and resistance levels. Short term traders can buy this stock at current level and accumulate till levels of 62 (if it corrects till that level). In short term the stock has potential to reach to price of 98. That can gives us returns of 30%. 



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